Mitt's conquest of the Presidency may look like this. As a reminder, the red color indicates that a state will cast its electoral votes for Romney; blue states indicate votes for Obama.
The Mormon Belt may be what narrowly pushes Colorado into the Romney tally. With the exception of its neighbor to the south, everything surrounding it will go red. While Nevada has a large LDS population as well, the Vegas metro area contains 70% of the state's population. Obama won Las Vegas with over 18% of the vote in 2008.
The Midwest will be a haven for Romney in this winning scenario. Recent polls have showed him ahead in Iowa. Neighboring Wisconsin is difficult to predict, although the choice of Paul Ryan for VP will score him some extra points in this usually-Democratic state. Romney looks poised for a fairly easy victory in Indiana, a state that the President barely won in '08.
The South's frustration with the President makes the climate good for a reenactment of 2004, when every single Southern state went Republican. Romney's biggest potential loss here? Virginia, which has the GOP nominee down in the polls. North Carolina, which just barely made it into the Obama tally in '08, will all but certainly go to Romney this year.
Florida is not part of the South. :) The Sunshine State has a big influx of Tea Partiers and seniors who have been made scared to death of 'Obamacare' and this plays well for Romney. Look for Florida to go Republican this time around. The President only carried it by less than 3% last time.
*Disagreements with this analysis? Please comment. I'd love to hear your thoughts--especially if you live in a state where you think that a different outcome will take place.*
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